Model Predictions
| Model | Siena Saints | Rider Broncs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.5% | 42.5% | -1.7 | ✗ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Rider Broncs +2 (61-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Doty | 37 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | -5.3 |
| Major Freeman | 35 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | -1.3 |
| Justice Shoats | 35 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | -4.2 |
| Myles Wilmoth | 26 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -7.3 |
| Brendan Coyle | 26 | 2-8 | 1-7 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | +3.9 |
| Reid Ducharme | 20 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +0.7 |
| Devin Brafford | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | +3.0 |
| Tajae Jones | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.2 |
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Weeks Jr. | 38 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 10-11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 25 | - |
| Jay Alvarez | 35 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +3.4 |
| Flash Burton | 34 | 6-17 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 2 | +9.3 |
| Tank Byard | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 15 | +10.1 |
| Zion Cruz | 20 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | -4.9 |
| Tariq Ingraham | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -7.8 |
| Ruben Rodriguez | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +7.2 |
| Andre Young | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 |
| Tyriek Weeks | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Ife West-Ingram | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Cole McCabe | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
| Zocko Littleton Jr.. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.0 |
* = starter