Model Predictions
| Model | Marist Red Foxes | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.3% | 38.7% | -2.5 | ✗ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags +3 (59-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Marist Red Foxes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadin Collins-Roberts | 34 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | +3.8 |
| Josh Pascarelli | 34 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | +4.9 |
| Jaden Daughtry | 27 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | +6.8 |
| Elijah Lewis | 22 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Travis Roberts | 18 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | -6.0 |
| Tarik Watson | 18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +6.8 |
| Parby Kabamba | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.9 |
| Trace Salton | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -5.9 |
| Matt McCool | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -9.1 |
| Caleb Mackrey | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4.0 |
| Martin Kawa | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -5.0 |
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bergens | 36 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | -2.8 |
| P. Johnson | 36 | 2-12 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | -2.3 |
| Louis Bleechmore | 32 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -5.9 |
| Braden Sparks | 22 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +1.0 |
| Deon Perry | 19 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 9 | +1.3 |
| Isaac Munkadi | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | +5.1 |
| Peyton Smith | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -4.9 |
| Michael Rogan | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +9.0 |
| B. Seck | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.1 |
* = starter