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2025-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Fairfield Stags Quinnipiac Bobcats Spread Result
Elo 22.9% 77.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 27.3% 72.7% - โœ“
Margin 11.4% 88.6% +11.3 โœ“ (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 27.1% 72.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 27.1% 72.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 11.6% 88.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 11.5% 88.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 26.3% 73.7% - โœ“

Actual: Quinnipiac Bobcats +12 (81-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Fairfield Stags

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Bergens 40 4-13 2-7 5-6 1 5 2 0 2 15 8 -9.9
Deon Perry 31 7-16 6-10 3-4 2 1 1 0 1 23 10 -5.9
K. Jenkins 27 5-9 2-5 0-0 5 3 0 0 0 12 11 -9.9
Michael Rogan 26 3-7 2-4 1-2 5 1 1 0 1 9 8 -8.7
P. Johnson 20 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 2 3 -13.1
Peyton Smith 17 2-7 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 2 0 5 4 +1.8
Louis Bleechmore 15 0-2 0-2 0-2 5 0 0 0 0 0 3 -2.6
Braden Sparks 13 1-6 0-3 1-2 4 3 0 0 1 3 3 -3.5
Isaac Munkadi 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 2 0 0 2 +2.5

Quinnipiac Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul Otieno 35 4-7 0-0 7-8 13 2 0 1 2 15 22 +12.1
Savion Lewis 34 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 8 1 0 2 2 7 +8.0
Khaden Bennett 32 3-10 2-5 2-3 8 2 0 1 1 10 10 +13.3
Alexis Reyes 27 2-8 0-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 4 -1 +4.3
Amarri Tice 27 8-14 4-9 7-7 10 2 0 0 3 27 22 -
Jaden Zimmerman 20 5-9 2-5 2-4 4 0 0 0 0 14 9 +8.1
Doug Young 11 2-3 2-3 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 7 3 -2.4
Ryan Mabrey 8 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -2.2
Richie Springs 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.1
Grant Randall 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -6.9

* = starter