Model Predictions
| Model | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Merrimack Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.6% | 72.4% | +5.3 | ✗ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Merrimack Warriors -8 (58-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jedy Cordilia | 36 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Carmelo Pacheco | 34 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Xavier Lipscomb | 33 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Dallas Hobbs | 30 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Dola Adebayo | 29 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Arlandus Keyes | 20 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| A. Khadre Kebe | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Javon Ervin | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Malcolm Dread | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Merrimack Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Clark | 38 | 3-14 | 2-6 | 3-6 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 9 | - |
| M. Becht | 33 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| B. Etumnu | 33 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| S. Trumper | 32 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | - |
| D. Savage | 24 | 4-12 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Tye Dorset | 19 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Malik Edmead | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Plintauskas | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Murray | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter