Model Predictions
| Model | Siena Saints | Marist Red Foxes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.0% | 55.0% | +1.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Marist Red Foxes +5 (72-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Doty | 36 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | -8.1 |
| Major Freeman | 36 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | -12.1 |
| Justice Shoats | 34 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | +0.8 |
| Brendan Coyle | 28 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | +2.6 |
| Reid Ducharme | 23 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +4.6 |
| Myles Wilmoth | 22 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 6 | +3.5 |
| Devin Brafford | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5.9 |
| Michael Ojo | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Kyle Winters | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
| Tajae Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
Marist Red Foxes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Pascarelli | 36 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | -0.9 |
| Elijah Lewis | 35 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Jackson Price | 34 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 3-5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | +9.9 |
| Jaden Daughtry | 27 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 18 | +5.2 |
| Jadin Collins-Roberts | 26 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -0.6 |
| Martin Kawa | 13 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | +10.6 |
| Trace Salton | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2.2 |
| Jason Schofield | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.1 |
| Travis Roberts | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.1 |
| Caleb Mackrey | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.1 |
| Parby Kabamba | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
* = starter