Model Predictions
| Model | Manhattan Jaspers | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.1% | 61.9% | +2.7 | ✗ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers -10 (64-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Manhattan Jaspers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Winston | 37 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | +6.7 |
| Masiah Gilyard | 36 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 20 | +9.8 |
| Devin Dinkins | 33 | 5-14 | 3-7 | 10-11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 13 | +12.7 |
| Shaquil Bender | 33 | 5-18 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | -5 | +1.9 |
| Wesley Robinson | 25 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +15.3 |
| Will Sydnor | 19 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | -5.1 |
| Alijah Curry | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +9.0 |
| Marko Ljubicic | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1.0 |
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Lipscomb | 35 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5.6 |
| Carmelo Pacheco | 33 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | -2.9 |
| Dola Adebayo | 32 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 13 | -18.9 |
| Dallas Hobbs | 30 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 1 | -6.9 |
| Jedy Cordilia | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 17 | +6.7 |
| Arlandus Keyes | 16 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -8.9 |
| A. Khadre Kebe | 14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Malcolm Dread | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -7.7 |
| Patrick Haigh | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.9 |
* = starter