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2025-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Siena Saints Iona Gaels Spread Result
Elo 29.5% 70.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 35.4% 64.6% - โœ“
Margin 44.1% 55.9% +1.3 โœ“ (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 48.9% 51.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 48.9% 51.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 51.4% 48.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 51.5% 48.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 45.8% 54.2% - โœ“

Actual: Iona Gaels +4 (72-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Siena Saints

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brendan Coyle 40 6-12 5-10 5-8 6 2 1 0 0 22 19 -10.8
Gavin Doty 40 6-11 2-3 6-6 4 1 2 0 3 20 13 -10.8
Justice Shoats 40 3-10 0-1 4-4 2 4 3 0 5 10 4 -10.8
Myles Wilmoth 28 3-5 1-3 0-0 8 2 0 3 2 7 13 -7.8
Major Freeman 28 1-11 0-7 2-3 3 3 3 1 2 4 1 -6.8
Reid Ducharme 13 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 3 2 -5.0
Devin Brafford 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 5 -2.0
Tajae Jones 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Iona Gaels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Adam Njie Jr. 34 7-12 1-3 1-2 2 7 1 0 5 16 9 +12.5
DeJour Reaves 34 10-17 1-3 3-4 6 2 3 1 2 24 17 +10.8
Justin Menard 33 2-6 2-5 0-0 3 3 3 0 1 6 8 +13.8
Luke Jungers 29 5-8 4-7 2-3 3 2 0 1 0 16 14 +13.2
Clarence Rupert 21 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 3 2 2 +13.9
Yaphet Moundi 17 2-6 0-0 2-4 11 1 0 2 2 6 12 -2.1
Kernan Bundy 17 0-3 0-1 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 2 4 -8.0
Christian Winborne 11 0-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Jalen Barr 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
JoJo Wallace 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter