Model Predictions
| Model | Marist Red Foxes | Niagara Purple Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.0% | 47.0% | -0.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Niagara Purple Eagles -2 (65-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Marist Red Foxes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadin Collins-Roberts | 43 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 11 | +3.7 |
| Josh Pascarelli | 40 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +1.7 |
| Elijah Lewis | 31 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Jaden Daughtry | 27 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -4.2 |
| Jackson Price | 20 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2.0 |
| Tarik Watson | 16 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | -4.0 |
| Travis Roberts | 15 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -6.0 |
| Trace Salton | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +5.9 |
| Jason Schofield | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +0.0 |
| Martin Kawa | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3.0 |
| Parby Kabamba | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Page | 35 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +1.2 |
| J. Davis | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | +1.2 |
| Justice Smith | 31 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Olumide Adelodun | 30 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | -0.8 |
| Jaeden Marshall | 30 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 7 | -0.9 |
| Jhaylon Martinez | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +2.2 |
| Jahari Williamson | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | +0.1 |
| Will Shortt | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2.9 |
| Damondre Mcknight | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
* = starter