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2025-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Rider Broncs Marist Red Foxes Spread Result
Elo 41.0% 59.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 29.9% 70.1% - โœ—
Margin 26.8% 73.2% +5.5 โœ— (12.5 off)
Pythagorean 32.4% 67.6% - โœ—
Efficiency 32.4% 67.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 29.3% 70.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 29.4% 70.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 35.9% 64.1% - โœ—

Actual: Marist Red Foxes -7 (57-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Rider Broncs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zion Cruz 36 3-11 0-2 3-4 6 1 0 1 1 9 5 +7.6
T.J. Weeks Jr. 35 4-12 2-4 3-3 5 1 0 1 0 13 8 +7.2
Jay Alvarez 35 1-6 0-3 2-2 15 2 0 0 2 4 13 +8.8
Tariq Ingraham 30 5-9 0-0 3-4 10 0 0 0 0 13 14 +10.5
Flash Burton 25 7-11 2-2 5-8 2 1 2 1 0 21 16 +7.4
Ruben Rodriguez 21 0-4 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 -3 -9.7
Tank Byard 8 0-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 +2.1
Andre Young 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 1 +7.0
Zocko Littleton Jr.. 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +2.0
Cole McCabe 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.0

Marist Red Foxes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Pascarelli 38 6-21 3-14 2-2 4 0 1 0 0 17 1 -9.6
Elijah Lewis 36 4-8 1-2 4-7 4 3 0 1 1 13 12 -
Jaden Daughtry 31 1-3 0-1 1-2 8 1 2 0 0 3 11 -6.5
Jackson Price 23 0-3 0-3 0-0 4 3 0 1 1 0 4 -13.1
Jadin Collins-Roberts 23 4-8 1-2 2-2 3 3 0 0 2 11 7 +4.6
Martin Kawa 18 1-7 1-6 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 3 -1 -10.2
Jason Schofield 12 2-8 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 4 3 +6.9
Trace Salton 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 4 7 -1.1
Tarik Watson 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -1.0
Travis Roberts 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0

* = starter