Model Predictions
| Model | Niagara Purple Eagles | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.9% | 54.1% | +0.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags +4 (70-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Page | 29 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | +2.8 |
| J. Davis | 29 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | +8.8 |
| Olumide Adelodun | 26 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | -6.1 |
| Jhaylon Martinez | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +10.9 |
| Jaeden Marshall | 23 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | -1.2 |
| Zion Russell | 23 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | +5.0 |
| Will Shortt | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -7.0 |
| Justice Smith | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jahari Williamson | 11 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | -8.0 |
| Damondre Mcknight | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Johnson | 29 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | -0.2 |
| Braden Sparks | 27 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 6 | -7.0 |
| J. Bergens | 26 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -6.9 |
| K. Jenkins | 25 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | +0.3 |
| Louis Bleechmore | 24 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | +3.0 |
| Deon Perry | 23 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | +5.2 |
| Michael Rogan | 21 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | +8.1 |
| Isaac Munkadi | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +7.0 |
| B. Seck | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Peyton Smith | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
* = starter