Model Predictions
| Model | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Rider Broncs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.9% | 43.1% | -1.5 | ✗ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Rider Broncs +6 (66-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jedy Cordilia | 34 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | -7.2 |
| Xavier Lipscomb | 33 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -10.4 |
| Dola Adebayo | 32 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 6-10 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 12 | +5.7 |
| Carmelo Pacheco | 28 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | +1.9 |
| Arlandus Keyes | 23 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | +8.2 |
| Dallas Hobbs | 19 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -13.7 |
| Javon Ervin | 12 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +2.7 |
| A. Khadre Kebe | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Malcolm Dread | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -11.2 |
| Patrick Haigh | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.0 |
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Weeks Jr. | 36 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 8 | +4.0 |
| Ruben Rodriguez | 32 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | -0.9 |
| Tariq Ingraham | 31 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | +9.3 |
| Jay Alvarez | 29 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 4-7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | +9.2 |
| Zion Cruz | 28 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | +13.1 |
| Flash Burton | 27 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | +7.0 |
| Tank Byard | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Andre Young | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.7 |
| Cole McCabe | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Zocko Littleton Jr.. | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
* = starter