Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Marist Red Foxes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.8% | 81.2% | +8.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Marist Red Foxes +10 (61-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Rogan | 34 | 3-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | -12.9 |
| J. Bergens | 33 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | -5.8 |
| Braden Sparks | 31 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | -14.9 |
| Deon Perry | 24 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | -5.7 |
| Louis Bleechmore | 23 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | -9.9 |
| Peyton Smith | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -7.1 |
| K. Jenkins | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +4.0 |
| Isaac Munkadi | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.0 |
| B. Seck | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +2.9 |
| M. Riek | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Marist Red Foxes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadin Collins-Roberts | 35 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | +9.9 |
| Josh Pascarelli | 34 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 3 | +9.9 |
| Elijah Lewis | 32 | 3-13 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Jaden Daughtry | 28 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | +9.0 |
| Jackson Price | 25 | 6-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 15 | +2.1 |
| Trace Salton | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +2.9 |
| Martin Kawa | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Jason Schofield | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +10.0 |
| Travis Roberts | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 |
| Tarik Watson | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.1 |
* = starter