Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | Niagara Purple Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.6% | 59.4% | +2.1 | ✗ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Niagara Purple Eagles -3 (65-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Weeks Jr. | 38 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | +1.1 |
| Zion Cruz | 31 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Ruben Rodriguez | 30 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | +2.2 |
| Jay Alvarez | 26 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | -6.6 |
| Tariq Ingraham | 22 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | +1.1 |
| Tank Byard | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 15 | -0.9 |
| Andre Young | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -8.9 |
| Zocko Littleton Jr.. | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.0 |
| Flash Burton | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -4.0 |
| Alaaeddine Boutayeb | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jhaylon Martinez | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +4.6 |
| Olumide Adelodun | 28 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | +9.7 |
| Justin Page | 27 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Zion Russell | 27 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | -4.1 |
| Justice Smith | 23 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| J. Davis | 23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -5.1 |
| Jahari Williamson | 17 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -4.3 |
| Jaeden Marshall | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | +3.9 |
| Will Shortt | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +4.0 |
| Damondre Mcknight | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1.0 |
* = starter