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2025-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers Manhattan Jaspers Spread Result
Elo 57.7% 42.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 66.3% 33.7% - โœ“
Margin 37.3% 62.7% +2.9 โœ— (11.9 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% - โœ—
Efficiency 44.8% 55.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 45.8% 54.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 45.6% 54.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 42.5% 57.5% - โœ—

Actual: Manhattan Jaspers -9 (66-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Xavier Lipscomb 36 4-6 2-4 1-2 4 6 0 0 0 11 15 +10.3
Jedy Cordilia 27 3-10 0-0 1-1 8 2 0 2 1 7 8 +11.2
Terrell Ard Jr. 27 8-13 0-1 0-0 5 3 4 0 1 16 14 +10.5
Carmelo Pacheco 26 2-6 1-5 4-4 2 2 1 0 0 9 8 +2.1
Dola Adebayo 25 4-10 1-3 4-6 3 1 0 2 1 13 8 -5.7
Javon Ervin 23 4-7 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 8 7 +0.4
Arlandus Keyes 20 1-5 1-3 0-0 4 5 0 1 1 3 7 +14.4
A. Khadre Kebe 16 3-5 1-3 1-1 3 2 0 0 1 8 7 -

Manhattan Jaspers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaden Winston 37 2-7 0-2 0-0 4 7 0 0 2 4 6 +3.6
Wesley Robinson 35 0-8 0-7 0-0 4 5 0 1 1 0 1 -13.0
Masiah Gilyard 34 3-9 0-3 0-0 10 2 1 0 1 6 9 -4.3
Will Sydnor 32 11-19 5-9 0-0 10 1 0 3 1 27 21 -10.3
Shaquil Bender 32 6-12 2-5 0-0 3 2 1 0 3 14 5 -11.5
Devin Dinkins 23 4-10 2-6 1-1 1 2 1 0 1 11 4 -18.4
Alijah Curry 7 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 +7.9

* = starter