Model Predictions
| Model | Niagara Purple Eagles | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.7% | 80.3% | +7.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +6 (68-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Davis | 32 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | -4.8 |
| Olumide Adelodun | 29 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -4.8 |
| Zion Russell | 26 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | -1.4 |
| Jahari Williamson | 24 | 5-9 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 4 | -9.4 |
| Justice Smith | 22 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Jaeden Marshall | 22 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | -2.3 |
| Jhaylon Martinez | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -7.4 |
| Will Shortt | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | +7.5 |
| Damondre Mcknight | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.1 |
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Lipscomb | 33 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | +4.8 |
| Carmelo Pacheco | 29 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +6.8 |
| Dola Adebayo | 28 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -3.1 |
| Jedy Cordilia | 27 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | +9.9 |
| Terrell Ard Jr. | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +0.8 |
| Javon Ervin | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -4 | -13.4 |
| Arlandus Keyes | 20 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 15 | +20.4 |
| A. Khadre Kebe | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Trey Wilson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.0 |
| Patrick Haigh | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
* = starter