Model Predictions
| Model | Manhattan Jaspers | Siena Saints | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.6% | 62.4% | +2.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Siena Saints +8 (103-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Manhattan Jaspers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaquil Bender | 44 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | -7.1 |
| Will Sydnor | 42 | 8-17 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 16 | -5.9 |
| Devin Dinkins | 41 | 6-14 | 4-7 | 10-11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 15 | -24.0 |
| Masiah Gilyard | 40 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | -7.1 |
| Wesley Robinson | 40 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 16 | -0.5 |
| Jaden Winston | 38 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -11.9 |
| Marko Ljubicic | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Michael Lawlor | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justice Shoats | 49 | 9-21 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 15 | +12.3 |
| Major Freeman | 46 | 8-18 | 3-10 | 5-5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 16 | +13.1 |
| Brendan Coyle | 45 | 2-11 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +22.9 |
| Peter Carey | 38 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 22 | +9.6 |
| Gavin Doty | 35 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 7-10 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 19 | +13.8 |
| Marcus Jackson | 23 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 14 | -3.4 |
| Myles Wilmoth | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.5 |
| Tajae Jones | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -0.8 |
| Reid Ducharme | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.1 |
* = starter