Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | Pennsylvania Quakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.4% | 65.6% | +3.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pennsylvania Quakers +13 (79-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Weeks Jr. | 38 | 5-10 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 11 | -13.3 |
| Zion Cruz | 31 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | -12.8 |
| Ruben Rodriguez | 30 | 2-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | -5.8 |
| Jay Alvarez | 26 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | -11.5 |
| Tariq Ingraham | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 15 | -8.9 |
| Flash Burton | 16 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | -13.9 |
| Andre Young | 13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +2.0 |
| Tank Byard | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +4.0 |
| Cole McCabe | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4.0 |
| Ife West-Ingram | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Pennsylvania Quakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Roberts | 33 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 19 | +12.8 |
| Sam Brown | 31 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | +2.8 |
| AJ Levine | 29 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +7.8 |
| Nick Spinoso | 28 | 11-14 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 19 | +9.8 |
| George Smith | 26 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +10.9 |
| Michael Zanoni | 17 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +2.9 |
| Niklas Polonowski | 15 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | +12.9 |
| Augustus Gerhart | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -2.0 |
| Bradyn Foster | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +6.0 |
* = starter