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2024-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Rider Broncs Pennsylvania Quakers Spread Result
Elo 49.4% 50.6% -
Bradley-Terry 49.8% 50.2% -
Margin 34.4% 65.6% +3.6 (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 54.7% 45.3% -
Efficiency 56.8% 43.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.3% 58.7% -
Log Adjusted 41.3% 58.7% -
Points Off/Def 40.5% 59.5% -

Actual: Pennsylvania Quakers +13 (79-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Rider Broncs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. Weeks Jr. 38 5-10 2-7 1-2 2 3 1 2 0 13 11 -13.3
Z. Cruz 31 7-14 2-5 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 16 10 -12.8
R. Rodriguez 30 2-11 1-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 5 -1 -5.8
J. Alvarez 26 3-11 1-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 7 -1 -11.5
T. Ingraham 26 5-7 0-0 1-2 8 2 0 1 0 11 15 -8.9
F. Burton 16 3-7 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 7 1 -13.9
A. Young 13 1-5 1-2 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 3 2 +2.0
T. Byard 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 +4.0
C. McCabe 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -4.0
I. West-Ingram 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Pennsylvania Quakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Roberts 33 7-13 3-5 3-3 8 5 0 1 2 20 19 +12.8
S. Brown 31 0-4 0-3 0-2 6 3 1 1 0 0 7 +2.8
AJ Levine 29 1-7 1-3 0-0 6 3 0 0 3 3 2 +7.8
N. Spinoso 28 11-14 0-0 0-1 6 3 0 2 0 22 19 +9.8
G. Smith 26 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 0 +10.9
M. Zanoni 17 3-5 2-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 8 5 +2.9
N. Polonowski 15 5-8 4-7 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 14 10 +12.9
A. Gerhart 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 4 5 -2.0
B. Foster 9 2-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 5 5 +6.0

* = starter