Model Predictions
| Model | Siena Saints | Canisius Golden Griffins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.0% | 16.0% | -9.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.0% | 11.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Canisius Golden Griffins -13 (53-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Shoats | 39 | 6-15 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | +12.9 |
| M. Freeman | 38 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +15.9 |
| B. Coyle | 37 | 6-16 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | +16.9 |
| M. Jackson | 35 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | +12.9 |
| T. Jones | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3.0 |
| P. Carey | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +8.0 |
| M. Wilmoth | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +4.0 |
| D. Brafford | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| G. Doty | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.0 |
| R. Ducharme | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Canisius Golden Griffins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. McMillan IV | 40 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 9-10 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 14 | -12.9 |
| T. Kopa | 37 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | -12.9 |
| J. Sangha | 27 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | -12.9 |
| G. Thompson | 25 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3.0 |
| C. Palesse | 23 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -14.9 |
| A. Benard | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3.9 |
| E. van der Plas | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.0 |
| D. Godfrey | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +1.0 |
* = starter