Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.9% | 85.1% | +9.6 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +7 (101-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bergens | 36 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | -2.2 |
| P. Johnson | 30 | 9-16 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 22 | -4.9 |
| Louis Bleechmore | 21 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | -6.3 |
| Noah Best | 21 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 14 | +9.6 |
| Isaac Munkadi | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | +5.2 |
| Braden Sparks | 17 | 5-12 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | +7.6 |
| Peyton Smith | 16 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -11.0 |
| Deon Perry | 11 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -7.3 |
| K. Jenkins | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0.4 |
| Michael Rogan | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.6 |
| Matt Curtis | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -0.6 |
| B. Seck | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.8 |
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Lipscomb | 31 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 6-8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 15 | +7.8 |
| Jedy Cordilia | 29 | 10-15 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 15 | +6.2 |
| Dallas Hobbs | 28 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | -2.4 |
| Dola Adebayo | 28 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 26 | +6.7 |
| Terrell Ard Jr. | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | -7.3 |
| Javon Ervin | 19 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | +3.2 |
| Arlandus Keyes | 15 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +2.0 |
| A. Khadre Kebe | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Carmelo Pacheco | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3.0 |
| Trey Wilson | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +8.8 |
* = starter