Model Predictions
| Model | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Marist Red Foxes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.4% | 55.6% | +1.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Marist Red Foxes +3 (53-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Lipscomb | 31 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | -3.5 |
| Carmelo Pacheco | 30 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -4.6 |
| Jedy Cordilia | 27 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 13 | +0.0 |
| Dallas Hobbs | 27 | 4-17 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -2 | -7.6 |
| Terrell Ard Jr. | 27 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -5.5 |
| Dola Adebayo | 22 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | +5.0 |
| Javon Ervin | 18 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +2.3 |
| A. Khadre Kebe | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Arlandus Keyes | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Trey Wilson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
Marist Red Foxes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadin Collins-Roberts | 35 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | +3.5 |
| Josh Pascarelli | 34 | 6-17 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | +3.6 |
| Elijah Lewis | 29 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jackson Price | 28 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | +6.3 |
| Jaden Daughtry | 27 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | +6.3 |
| Caleb Mackrey | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +1.3 |
| Tarik Watson | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Travis Roberts | 8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -10.0 |
| Parby Kabamba | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Martin Kawa | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +0.0 |
| Jason Schofield | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.8 |
| Trace Salton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +3.1 |
* = starter