Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.9% | 51.1% | +0.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags +3 (78-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Weeks Jr. * | 38 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Tariq Ingraham * | 34 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 25 | +3.0 |
| Ife West-Ingram * | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +15.1 |
| Jay Alvarez * | 20 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | -6.9 |
| Ruben Rodriguez * | 18 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Zion Cruz | 28 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -6.9 |
| Flash Burton | 14 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | -7.0 |
| Tyriek Weeks | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Andre Young | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +4.1 |
| Tank Byard | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.0 |
| Cole McCabe | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Alaaeddine Boutayeb | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bergens * | 34 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +2.9 |
| P. Johnson * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | +14.5 |
| Deon Perry * | 28 | 7-14 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 7 | +11.3 |
| Louis Bleechmore * | 24 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | +9.0 |
| Peyton Smith * | 20 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | +8.0 |
| K. Jenkins | 16 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -5.1 |
| Noah Best | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -12.1 |
| Braden Sparks | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -10.1 |
| B. Seck | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +2.8 |
| Isaac Munkadi | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -5.1 |
| Matt Curtis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
* = starter