Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.0% | 99.0% | +25.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +24 (72-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jay Alvarez * | 32 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | -17.2 |
| T.J. Weeks Jr. * | 29 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Ife West-Ingram * | 24 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -11.0 |
| Tariq Ingraham * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | -8.2 |
| Ruben Rodriguez * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -11.4 |
| Flash Burton | 25 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | -15.8 |
| Cole McCabe | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -0.3 |
| Tyriek Weeks | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Zion Cruz | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
| Andre Young | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -0.7 |
| Alaaeddine Boutayeb | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.2 |
| Zocko Littleton Jr.. | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.1 |
| Jack McFadden | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.0 |
| Maurizio D'Alessandro | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sash Gavalyugov | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Eric Dixon * | 29 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 5-8 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 17 | +18.7 |
| Jhamir Brickus * | 27 | 5-9 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | +25.4 |
| Wooga Poplar * | 25 | 3-13 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | +13.2 |
| Jordan Longino * | 20 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +14.1 |
| Enoch Boakye * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | +10.6 |
| Tyler Perkins | 25 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +18.5 |
| Josiah Moseley | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +7.3 |
| Nnanna Njoku | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -6.9 |
| Kris Parker | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -4.3 |
| Jordann Dumont | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter