Model Predictions
| Model | Siena Saints | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.5% | 98.5% | +23.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +25 (80-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Major Freeman * | 32 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | -17.7 |
| Reid Ducharme * | 30 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Marcus Jackson * | 30 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -17.9 |
| Brendan Coyle * | 24 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -7.2 |
| Peter Carey * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | -13.6 |
| Justice Shoats | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | -10.0 |
| Myles Wilmoth | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -2.7 |
| Bralyn Smith | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Tajae Jones | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -12.7 |
| Devin Brafford | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2.5 |
| Gavin Doty | 5 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +0.2 |
| Michael Ojo | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Kyle Winters | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dayvion McKnight * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +5.8 |
| Zach Freemantle * | 28 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | +24.8 |
| Ryan Conwell * | 26 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | +25.5 |
| Marcus Foster * | 25 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | +22.7 |
| Dailyn Swain * | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | +19.4 |
| Jerome Hunter | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +4.5 |
| Trey Green | 17 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +4.6 |
| Dante Maddox Jr. | 16 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -1 | -10.6 |
| John Hugley IV | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -0.6 |
| Cam'Ron Fletcher | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 |
* = starter