Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | Navy Midshipmen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.9% | 71.1% | +4.9 | ✗ (15.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Navy Midshipmen -11 (79-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Weeks Jr. * | 37 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| J. Alvarez * | 30 | 5-12 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | +11.9 |
| I. West-Ingram * | 29 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 22 | -4.6 |
| R. Rodriguez * | 22 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +4.3 |
| T. Ingraham * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +7.4 |
| F. Burton | 22 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 9-10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | +7.6 |
| Z. Cruz | 13 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +5.3 |
| C. McCabe | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +6.1 |
| A. Boutayeb | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1.1 |
| T. Weeks | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Navy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Benigni * | 36 | 6-16 | 0-1 | 11-14 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 15 | -11.8 |
| A. Kehoe * | 35 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 19 | -6.7 |
| D. Draper * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | -4.3 |
| J. Pennick * | 20 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -7.4 |
| L. Rehnstrom * | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -4.4 |
| J. Kim | 25 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | -0.5 |
| C. Cole | 20 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -5.3 |
| M. Woods | 17 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -14.3 |
| S. Krist | 8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +1.9 |
| C. Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.1 |
| M. Fischer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter