Model Predictions
| Model | Niagara Purple Eagles | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.2% | 99.8% | +34.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +36 (96-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Henderson Jr. | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Davis * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | -26.0 |
| Olumide Adelodun * | 29 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 5 | -16.5 |
| Jahari Williamson * | 28 | 4-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | -3.1 |
| Justice Smith * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jhaylon Martinez * | 12 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | -7.9 |
| Justin Page | 21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -5.7 |
| Zion Russell | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -18.9 |
| Jaeden Marshall | 13 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | -16.4 |
| Will Shortt | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -8.2 |
| Damondre Mcknight | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -7.4 |
| AJ McBride | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.5 |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Akins * | 27 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | +32.0 |
| Jeremy Fears Jr. * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | +6.0 |
| Xavier Booker * | 19 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +11.3 |
| Frankie Fidler * | 18 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | +11.9 |
| Szymon Zapala * | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +7.2 |
| Coen Carr | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | +8.3 |
| Jaxon Kohler | 18 | 8-12 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 23 | +12.9 |
| Jase Richardson | 17 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | +12.6 |
| Tre Holloman | 15 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +18.0 |
| Carson Cooper | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +4.3 |
| Kur Teng | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +8.3 |
| Gehrig Normand | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +5.3 |
| Nick Sanders | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.2 |
* = starter