Model Predictions
| Model | California Golden Bears | Pacific Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 97.8% | 2.2% | -20.9 | ✓ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.2% | 3.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.3% | 3.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pacific Tigers -8 (66-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Williams | 35 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | +3.7 |
| Marta Suarez | 31 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Ioanna Krimili | 31 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 6-8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 9 | +3.7 |
| Lulu Twidale | 30 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Ugonne Onyiah | 23 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | +4.6 |
| Jayda Noble | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +3.2 |
| Gabrielle Abigor | 12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -0.1 |
| Lola Donez | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.0 |
| Gisella Maul | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +4.3 |
| Natalia Ackerman | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Zahra King | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liz Smith | 39 | 8-16 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 4 | -0.4 |
| Anaya James | 35 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 7 | -3.4 |
| Elizabeth Elliott | 35 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 19 | +1.3 |
| Nyah Lowery | 24 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -4.2 |
| Sydney Ward | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -1.7 |
| Daria Nestorov | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -2.3 |
| Lauren Glazier | 12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +1.5 |
| Luisa Anderegg | 9 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -5.6 |
| Marina Radocaj | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tyla Fautua | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Stella Szabo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter