Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Florida Gators | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.2% | 98.8% | +24.1 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Gators +18 (87-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac McKneely * | 36 | 4-10 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | -7.5 |
| Elijah Saunders * | 33 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | +4.0 |
| D. Ames * | 27 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | +3.3 |
| Andrew Rohde * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | -6.7 |
| Blake Buchanan * | 22 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -13.9 |
| Taine Murray | 25 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3.0 |
| Jacob Cofie | 18 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -0.9 |
| Ishan Sharma | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.7 |
| TJ Power | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -11.1 |
| Anthony Robinson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +0.7 |
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alijah Martin * | 34 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | +10.2 |
| Walter Clayton Jr. * | 34 | 10-19 | 5-12 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 16 | +5.9 |
| Will Richard * | 31 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +14.4 |
| Alex Condon * | 25 | 7-8 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 24 | -1.5 |
| Rueben Chinyelu * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +8.6 |
| Thomas Haugh | 23 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -1.1 |
| Denzel Aberdeen | 21 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | +8.3 |
| Sam Alexis | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | +5.9 |
* = starter