Model Predictions
| Model | Holy Cross Crusaders | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.5% | 96.5% | +18.2 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +26 (67-41). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Holy Cross Crusaders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Green * | 32 | 6-14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | -22.9 |
| Joe Nugent * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -8.6 |
| Caleb Kenney * | 27 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 5 | -11.4 |
| Aidan Richard * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -10.6 |
| Tyler Boston * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -26.5 |
| DeAndre Williams | 23 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5.5 |
| Kahlil Singleton | 20 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | -18.1 |
| Jaiden Feroah | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -4.1 |
| Declan Ryan | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.1 |
| Jaden Kirkwood | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.1 |
| Ben Capron | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac McKneely * | 31 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | +22.9 |
| Andrew Rohde * | 28 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +18.9 |
| D. Ames * | 28 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | +14.9 |
| Elijah Saunders * | 25 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +3.8 |
| Blake Buchanan * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | +12.5 |
| Taine Murray | 21 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2.5 |
| Jacob Cofie | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +9.8 |
| TJ Power | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +13.8 |
| Ishan Sharma | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | +8.9 |
| Bryce Walker | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +4.1 |
| Desmond Roberts | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +4.0 |
| Anthony Robinson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter