Model Predictions
| Model | Manhattan Jaspers | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.0% | 92.0% | +13.4 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +9 (74-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Manhattan Jaspers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaquil Bender * | 39 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -3 | -1.7 |
| Wesley Robinson * | 30 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | +0.3 |
| Will Sydnor * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -9.9 |
| Jaden Winston * | 26 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Masiah Gilyard * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | -4.0 |
| Devin Dinkins | 29 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | -1.9 |
| Fraser Roxburgh | 16 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +3.5 |
| Alijah Curry | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +4.0 |
| Marko Ljubicic | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac McKneely * | 37 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | +2.8 |
| Andrew Rohde * | 36 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | +1.9 |
| Elijah Saunders * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +3.8 |
| D. Ames * | 31 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +6.6 |
| Blake Buchanan * | 21 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | -0.4 |
| Jacob Cofie | 19 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | -1.2 |
| Taine Murray | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.3 |
| TJ Power | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2.0 |
* = starter