Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 13.6% | 86.4% | +10.2 | ✗ (20.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats -10 (60-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ames * | 36 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | +18.1 |
| Isaac McKneely * | 36 | 8-9 | 6-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 17 | +15.8 |
| Elijah Saunders * | 32 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +13.2 |
| Blake Buchanan * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | +9.5 |
| TJ Power * | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +4.6 |
| Andrew Rohde | 27 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | +4.9 |
| Jacob Cofie | 26 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | +10.1 |
| Ishan Sharma | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +6.1 |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Dixon * | 35 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 14 | -13.2 |
| Jordan Longino * | 31 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | -7.4 |
| Jhamir Brickus * | 29 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | -20.7 |
| Wooga Poplar * | 27 | 2-12 | 1-8 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | -10.9 |
| Enoch Boakye * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | +3.2 |
| Tyler Perkins | 21 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | -9.2 |
| Kris Parker | 13 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -10.5 |
| Nnanna Njoku | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.0 |
| Josiah Moseley | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Jordann Dumont | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.8 |
* = starter