Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.3% | 77.7% | +6.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +10 (74-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dji Bailey | 39 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | -14.4 |
| Cam Carter | 36 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 7 | -2.5 |
| Jordan Sears | 34 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 16 | -8.7 |
| Corey Chest | 31 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | -1.4 |
| Daimion Collins | 30 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 3 | -10.1 |
| Vyctorius Miller | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | -1.6 |
| Robert Miller III | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +0.9 |
| Curtis Givens III | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -7.8 |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Cross | 35 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 21 | +12.2 |
| Samet Yigitoglu | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 13 | +1.7 |
| B.J. Edwards | 29 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 22 | +15.8 |
| Boopie Miller | 28 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Kario Oquendo | 25 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | -4.4 |
| Chuck Harris | 22 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | +16.6 |
| Yohan Traore | 16 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +6.2 |
| Keon Ambrose-Hylton | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2.0 |
| Jerrell Colbert | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +10.9 |
* = starter