Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.5% | 98.5% | +23.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +29 (101-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amarr Knox * | 25 | 6-12 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | -24.5 |
| Jasteven Walker * | 23 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -17.0 |
| TJ Madlock * | 17 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| CJ Hines * | 15 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | -6.7 |
| Ubong Okon * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1.5 |
| Tyler Mack | 31 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | -24.0 |
| Mario Andrews | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -10.1 |
| J. Kaego | 18 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Shawn Fulcher | 15 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | -7.8 |
| D'Ante Bass | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Micah Simpson | 11 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | -12.7 |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Cross * | 26 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | +23.6 |
| B.J. Edwards * | 25 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | +13.3 |
| Boopie Miller * | 22 | 1-12 | 0-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | +24.5 |
| Yohan Traore * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | +10.1 |
| Samet Yigitoglu * | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | +12.4 |
| Chuck Harris | 21 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +26.7 |
| Keon Ambrose-Hylton | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Kario Oquendo | 15 | 7-8 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | +9.2 |
| Jerrell Colbert | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 15 | -1.7 |
| Tibet Gorener | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +8.1 |
| AJ George | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +1.5 |
* = starter