Model Predictions
| Model | California Baptist Lancers | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.9% | 95.1% | +16.3 | ✓ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +2 (79-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
California Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Daniels Jr. * | 38 | 6-16 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 3 | +3.4 |
| Kendal Coleman * | 35 | 12-16 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 24 | +11.9 |
| Sam Silverstein * | 34 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | +1.5 |
| AJ Braun * | 26 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | +4.3 |
| Martel Williams * | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Adam Moussa | 26 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | +9.2 |
| Javonté Johnson | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1.1 |
| Bradey Henige | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -2.6 |
| Brantly Stevenson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -7.2 |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.J. Edwards * | 33 | 7-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | -1.4 |
| Matt Cross * | 31 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 16 | +6.0 |
| Boopie Miller * | 29 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | -1.1 |
| Yohan Traore * | 28 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 6-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | +2.4 |
| Samet Yigitoglu * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | -2.1 |
| Kario Oquendo | 24 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | -0.1 |
| Chuck Harris | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -2.8 |
| Jerrell Colbert | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -7.7 |
| Tibet Gorener | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Keon Ambrose-Hylton | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.2 |
| AJ George | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.8 |
* = starter