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2024-11-11

Model Predictions

Model UNC Greensboro Spartans SMU Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 37.5% 62.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 17.9% 82.1% - โœ“
Margin 5.8% 94.2% +15.4 โœ“ (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 41.4% 58.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 41.5% 58.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 3.6% 96.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 3.4% 96.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 17.7% 82.3% - โœ“

Actual: SMU Mustangs +13 (81-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNC Greensboro Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kenyon Giles * 32 9-17 2-6 1-2 1 2 3 0 1 21 9 -9.6
Donovan Atwell * 31 2-10 1-6 0-0 5 3 0 1 5 5 -1 -6.6
Ronald Polite III * 25 3-8 0-2 6-8 4 2 0 0 4 12 6 -6.2
Miles Jones * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 3 1 1 1 0 14 +1.3
Jalen Breath * 18 4-5 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 9 5 +1.9
Demetrius Davis 20 0-6 0-4 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 0 -3 -14.4
Joryam Saizonou 19 1-4 1-1 1-2 4 4 0 1 1 4 8 -4.9
Malik Henry 15 4-4 0-0 6-8 3 0 1 0 1 14 13 -1.4
Akrum Ahemed 12 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 3 3 -5.3
Muon Reath 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -0.9
Domas Kauzonas 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Mason So 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +0.1
Keyon Webb 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0
Clinton Efinda 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B.J. Edwards * 33 6-12 2-5 3-4 7 1 5 1 2 17 17 +11.5
Yohan Traore * 29 1-4 0-1 3-4 5 1 1 1 0 5 9 +12.9
Boopie Miller * 28 7-16 2-6 5-7 4 7 1 0 4 21 13 +6.8
Samet Yigitoglu * 21 5-8 0-0 3-5 4 1 0 0 1 13 9 +2.5
Kario Oquendo * 17 1-4 1-2 2-2 4 2 1 0 2 5 6 +2.6
Matt Cross 20 3-5 1-2 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 8 8 +9.1
Chuck Harris 17 4-13 0-7 1-2 2 3 1 0 1 9 1 -0.8
Keon Ambrose-Hylton 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 +8.2
Tibet Gorener 11 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -5.5
Jerrell Colbert 7 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 +4.6

* = starter