Model Predictions
| Model | Tarleton State Texans | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.1% | 98.9% | +24.9 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +34 (96-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bubu Benjamin * | 38 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 14-16 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 14 | -29.3 |
| Chris Mpaka * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -27.7 |
| Jordan Mizell * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -16.2 |
| Ronnie Harrison Jr. * | 16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -25.6 |
| Nick Krass * | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Izzy Miles | 28 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -4 | -12.3 |
| C. Evans | 22 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | -2.1 |
| Joseph Martinez | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -11.0 |
| M. Krass | 17 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Roy Marom | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.J. Edwards * | 29 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 17 | +23.5 |
| Boopie Miller * | 27 | 8-15 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 18 | +29.3 |
| Yohan Traore * | 26 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +10.7 |
| Kario Oquendo * | 26 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | +24.7 |
| Matt Cross * | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +5.4 |
| Keon Ambrose-Hylton | 27 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 9 | +13.5 |
| Chuck Harris | 24 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | +20.6 |
| Tibet Gorener | 17 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +9.4 |
| AJ George | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +8.2 |
| Jerrell Colbert | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +5.8 |
| Trey Utter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.0 |
| Jackson Young | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter