Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | UCLA Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.1% | 70.9% | +4.9 | ✗ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UCLA Bruins -2 (74-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Davis | 36 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | +3.6 |
| Ian Jackson | 32 | 8-13 | 3-7 | 5-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 11 | -0.3 |
| Seth Trimble | 31 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 7-8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | -3.7 |
| Elliot Cadeau | 28 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 5 | +3.6 |
| Drake Powell | 24 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | -0.1 |
| Ty Claude | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1.9 |
| Jalen Washington | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +3.1 |
| V. Lubin | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Cade Tyson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +7.9 |
| Jae'Lyn Withers | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +4.2 |
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Johnson | 33 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | +2.6 |
| Dylan Andrews | 32 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | -1.0 |
| Sebastian Mack | 27 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 7-8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 15 | -1.5 |
| Skyy Clark | 25 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +5.8 |
| Lazar Stefanovic | 24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -5.4 |
| Tyler Bilodeau | 24 | 9-14 | 5-6 | 3-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 17 | +10.2 |
| William Kyle III | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | -4.4 |
| Eric Dailey Jr. | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +5.3 |
| Trent Perry | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -6.3 |
| Aday Mara | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1.4 |
| Dominick Harris | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
* = starter