Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Gators | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.1% | 20.9% | -7.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -6 (84-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alijah Martin | 36 | 5-17 | 2-12 | 7-9 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 8 | +4.1 |
| Will Richard | 36 | 8-10 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 19 | +7.1 |
| Walter Clayton Jr. | 33 | 4-15 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 1 | +3.1 |
| Alex Condon | 30 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 20 | +9.6 |
| Rueben Chinyelu | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | +1.9 |
| Thomas Haugh | 20 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | +5.3 |
| Denzel Aberdeen | 16 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | -11.8 |
| Sam Alexis | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +1.1 |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Davis | 36 | 10-19 | 3-11 | 6-7 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 21 | +1.9 |
| Seth Trimble | 34 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | +1.7 |
| Elliot Cadeau | 31 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 4 | +10.6 |
| V. Lubin | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Ian Jackson | 22 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | -2.3 |
| Cade Tyson | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.9 |
| Jalen Washington | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +11.7 |
| Drake Powell | 13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -11.3 |
| Jae'Lyn Withers | 10 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Ty Claude | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5.8 |
* = starter