Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.9% | 27.1% | -5.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -15 (79-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labaron Philon * | 34 | 7-12 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 14 | +11.9 |
| Mark Sears * | 31 | 7-14 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 14 | +17.8 |
| Grant Nelson * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +13.7 |
| Clifford Omoruyi * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 13 | +17.1 |
| Jarin Stevenson * | 16 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -5.1 |
| Aden Holloway | 23 | 5-10 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Derrion Reid | 18 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +9.8 |
| Mouhamed Dioubate | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +5.5 |
| Houston Mallette | 9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +11.6 |
| Aiden Sherrell | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.3 |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Davis * | 35 | 7-24 | 1-11 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 2 | -11.8 |
| Seth Trimble * | 28 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | -8.0 |
| Elliot Cadeau * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -6.1 |
| Drake Powell * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -6.2 |
| Jalen Washington * | 12 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Ian Jackson | 28 | 10-17 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 13 | -15.5 |
| V. Lubin | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jae'Lyn Withers | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -1.2 |
| Ty Claude | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -5.6 |
| Cade Tyson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.3 |
* = starter