Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.0% | 99.0% | +25.2 | ✓ (26.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +52 (107-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Smalls * | 26 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | -44.8 |
| Matt Rogers * | 25 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | -13.9 |
| Matt Mayock * | 24 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -32.2 |
| Greg Jones * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | -23.9 |
| Geoff Sprouse * | 19 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | -25.6 |
| Elijah Stephens | 26 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 1 | -14.4 |
| Lincoln Ball | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -12.2 |
| Wyatt Nausadis | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -25.8 |
| Eric Michaels | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -3.9 |
| Julen Iturbe | 6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -3.8 |
| Alex Daniels | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -4.6 |
| Adrian Samuels | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4.6 |
| Noah Jones | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.7 |
| Mason Whittaker | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Cadeau * | 29 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 5-9 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 23 | +37.9 |
| Seth Trimble * | 26 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | +30.8 |
| RJ Davis * | 26 | 5-13 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | +29.6 |
| Jae'Lyn Withers * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15 | +11.4 |
| Jalen Washington * | 18 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | +23.0 |
| Drake Powell | 26 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | +18.1 |
| Cade Tyson | 21 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | +37.9 |
| V. Lubin | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Ty Claude | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +10.3 |
| Dante Mayo Jr. | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +4.6 |
| Russell Hawkins | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +8.3 |
| John Holbrook | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter