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2024-11-08

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Kansas Jayhawks Spread Result
Elo 65.2% 34.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 37.3% 62.7% - โœ“
Margin 27.4% 72.6% +5.4 โœ“ (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.1% 53.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 46.1% 53.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 29.8% 70.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 29.5% 70.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.8% 62.2% - โœ“

Actual: Kansas Jayhawks +3 (92-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Davis * 37 3-15 1-7 9-11 1 4 0 1 1 16 6 +0.6
Elliot Cadeau * 33 3-11 0-3 6-6 2 7 1 0 2 12 9 +7.8
Seth Trimble * 33 5-11 1-3 8-8 4 0 0 0 1 19 11 +3.3
Jae'Lyn Withers * 24 4-6 3-5 0-0 9 0 1 0 1 11 14 -0.2
Jalen Washington * 18 3-5 0-1 1-2 9 1 0 1 1 7 12 +8.4
Drake Powell 20 1-4 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 2 3 +5.8
Ian Jackson 15 3-4 2-2 2-2 2 1 0 1 1 10 9 -4.6
V. Lubin 14 4-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 1 10 9 -
Ty Claude 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -3.1
James Brown 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Cade Tyson 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -0.9

Kansas Jayhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K.J. Adams Jr. * 37 7-13 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 14 5 +6.2
Hunter Dickinson * 29 7-15 0-2 6-9 10 3 0 1 0 20 19 -0.9
Dajuan Harris Jr. * 29 5-8 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 0 2 10 7 +13.3
David Coit * 20 0-4 0-3 0-0 4 3 0 0 1 0 2 -5.7
Rylan Griffen * 17 2-5 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 6 4 +10.8
Zeke Mayo 29 7-14 3-9 4-4 5 4 0 0 1 21 15 -6.0
AJ Storr 27 6-13 1-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 13 6 -1.3
Flory Bidunga 11 3-4 0-0 2-4 8 0 0 1 0 8 13 +2.2
Rakease Passmore 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.8

* = starter