Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.4% | 74.6% | +5.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +8 (93-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chucky Hepburn | 39 | 9-18 | 4-11 | 4-6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 16 | +3.1 |
| J'Vonne Hadley | 38 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | -2.5 |
| Reyne Smith | 34 | 4-12 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Noah Waterman | 34 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | -0.9 |
| Terrence Edwards Jr. | 30 | 8-14 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 9 | +1.1 |
| Khani Rooths | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
| James Scott | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1.3 |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamont Butler | 32 | 10-10 | 6-6 | 7-12 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 29 | +6.4 |
| Jaxson Robinson | 31 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9 | +3.3 |
| Andrew Carr | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 19 | +10.8 |
| Otega Oweh | 26 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | +5.0 |
| Koby Brea | 26 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +7.2 |
| Brandon Garrison | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -14.5 |
| Amari Williams | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | +1.2 |
| Ansley Almonor | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.9 |
| Travis Perry | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +6.9 |
* = starter