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2024-12-11

Model Predictions

Model UTEP Miners Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 4.0% 96.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 17.5% 82.5% - โœ“
Margin 2.6% 97.4% +19.9 โœ“ (16.9 off)
Pythagorean 32.5% 67.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 33.5% 66.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 12.7% 87.3% - โœ“

Actual: Louisville Cardinals +3 (77-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UTEP Miners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Corey Camper Jr. 38 7-13 2-3 3-3 3 3 2 0 0 19 14 +3.8
Kevin Kalu 30 3-6 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 1 0 6 10 -8.2
Devon Barnes 29 6-10 1-4 3-5 2 2 3 0 5 16 8 +3.1
David Terrell Jr. 28 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 4 1 -7.1
Otis Frazier III 25 3-6 1-3 0-1 6 1 1 0 2 7 7 -3.3
Ahamad Bynum 16 5-10 4-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 14 5 +11.5
KJ Thomas 10 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 -1 +10.8
Derick Hamilton 10 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 3 3 1 -2.3
Elijah Jones 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 3 2 +8.2
Trey Horton 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1.5

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J'Vonne Hadley 35 5-10 0-3 3-5 12 3 0 1 2 13 17 -2.6
Chucky Hepburn 35 2-7 1-4 7-8 5 7 3 0 2 12 18 +2.1
Reyne Smith 34 2-8 2-8 2-2 3 0 2 0 2 8 3 +2.0
Terrence Edwards Jr. 30 6-13 2-8 8-10 3 1 2 0 0 22 15 -3.7
James Scott 29 4-5 0-1 3-4 11 1 1 0 1 11 18 +14.0
Noah Waterman 20 2-9 1-7 2-5 3 0 1 1 1 7 2 -2.2
Khani Rooths 12 2-6 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 4 -3 -12.1
Frank Anselem 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter