Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.3% | 99.7% | +31.1 | ✓ (16.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +48 (93-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Windham | 15 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -12.8 |
| Tyler Brelsford * | 28 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | -44.5 |
| Dieonte Miles * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | -41.0 |
| Kenny White Jr. * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 9 | -27.8 |
| Steven Clay * | 22 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | -23.8 |
| Jalen Breazeale * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -18.8 |
| Trent Scott | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1 | -23.0 |
| Kade Ruegsegger | 18 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -16.9 |
| George Marshall | 11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | +4.7 |
| Khouri Carvey | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -5.4 |
| Jaden Webb | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Koren Johnson | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +15.1 |
| Terrence Edwards Jr. * | 26 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +42.5 |
| J'Vonne Hadley * | 22 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 11 | +25.2 |
| Chucky Hepburn * | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +30.0 |
| Aboubacar Traore * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | +23.3 |
| James Scott * | 15 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 14 | +18.9 |
| Reyne Smith | 23 | 4-10 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | +32.2 |
| Kasean Pryor | 20 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 7-9 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 27 | +27.7 |
| Noah Waterman | 15 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +6.2 |
| Khani Rooths | 7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +2.6 |
| Frank Anselem | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Patrick Antonelli | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -2.1 |
| Cole Sherman | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Aidan McCool | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter