Model Predictions
| Model | William & Mary Tribe | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.0% | 98.0% | +21.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams +20 (90-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Dorsey | 27 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 4 | -12.6 |
| Noah Collier | 26 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | -11.6 |
| Chase Lowe | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | +3.6 |
| Keller Boothby | 24 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4.1 |
| Kyle Frazier | 21 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +1.8 |
| Isaiah Mbeng | 20 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -6.3 |
| Malachi Ndur | 20 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -8.4 |
| Matteus Case | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -14.3 |
| Caleb Dorsey | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
| Luke Kinkade | 8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +3.1 |
| Finn Lally | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Shulga | 34 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | +17.8 |
| Jack Clark | 27 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 17 | +16.7 |
| Phillip Russell | 26 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | +21.8 |
| J. Bamisile | 26 | 9-15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 7 | +14.1 |
| Michael Belle | 25 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | +4.8 |
| Zeb Jackson | 23 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | +7.3 |
| Luke Bamgboye | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 10 | +0.9 |
| Brandon Jennings | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | -9.8 |
| Terrence Hill Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.2 |
| Alphonzo Billups III | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.1 |
| Obinnaya Okafor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter