Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.8% | 59.2% | +2.0 | ✗ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams -8 (68-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Shulga | 30 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 3-8 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 22 | +12.1 |
| Phillip Russell | 29 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | +12.1 |
| Christian Fermin | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Jack Clark | 26 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | +14.7 |
| J. Bamisile | 25 | 8-16 | 4-8 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 18 | +4.2 |
| Zeb Jackson | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +5.3 |
| Alphonzo Billups III | 13 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | +8.5 |
| Luke Bamgboye | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -4.1 |
| Michael Belle | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.5 |
| Brandon Jennings | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Terrence Hill Jr. | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.9 |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nique Clifford | 34 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -4.2 |
| Kyan. Evans | 27 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6.0 |
| Jalen Lake | 26 | 6-14 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | -4 | -3.4 |
| Ethan Morton | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -6.7 |
| Keshawn Williams | 21 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | -8.4 |
| Rashaan Mbemba | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | -1.2 |
| Jaylen Crocker-Johnson | 19 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +2.9 |
| Kyle Jorgensen | 19 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -5.9 |
| Bowen Born | 13 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | -0.1 |
* = starter