Model Predictions
| Model | Bellarmine Knights | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.4% | 99.6% | +30.2 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams +19 (84-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bellarmine Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Johnson * | 29 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | -14.7 |
| Dezmond McKinney * | 28 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | -5.1 |
| Curt Hopf * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -9.0 |
| Billy Smith * | 24 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | -8.7 |
| Jack Karasinski * | 21 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | +4.6 |
| Dylan Branson | 27 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | -10.3 |
| Kenyon Goodin | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -11.4 |
| Landin Hacker | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4.1 |
| Tyler Doyle | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +6.0 |
| Myles Watkins | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +2.2 |
| Grant Whitaker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.2 |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Shulga * | 35 | 6-6 | 4-4 | 3-5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 23 | +9.9 |
| J. Bamisile * | 32 | 8-14 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 9 | +11.9 |
| Jack Clark * | 31 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 17 | +12.7 |
| Christian Fermin * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Phillip Russell * | 23 | 5-10 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | +7.2 |
| Michael Belle | 21 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | +6.9 |
| Brandon Jennings | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +6.6 |
| Terrence Hill Jr. | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +5.3 |
| Alphonzo Billups III | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Luke Bamgboye | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.0 |
* = starter