Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Saint Joseph's Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.4% | 94.6% | +15.7 | ✓ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Joseph's Hawks +27 (84-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Mayock | 34 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -25.7 |
| Lincoln Ball | 25 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -21.8 |
| Matt Rogers | 24 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | -23.0 |
| Greg Jones | 22 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -17.2 |
| Geoff Sprouse | 20 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -22.7 |
| Colin Smalls | 19 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | -14.7 |
| Wyatt Nausadis | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -7.5 |
| Julen Iturbe | 16 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | -3.7 |
| Adrian Samuels | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +8.0 |
| Mason Whittaker | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.1 |
| Noah Jones | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Saint Joseph's Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Reynolds II | 32 | 8-13 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 20 | +25.7 |
| Rasheer Fleming | 31 | 11-15 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 28 | +34.2 |
| Dasear Haskins | 28 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 4 | +26.2 |
| Mekai Johnson | 28 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | +16.4 |
| Derek Simpson | 24 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 19 | +25.1 |
| Anthony Finkley | 22 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +6.4 |
| Justice Ajogbor | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | +10.6 |
| Shawn Simmons II | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -8.3 |
| Will Lange | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.9 |
| Billy Rayer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter