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2024-11-12

Model Predictions

Model Villanova Wildcats Saint Joseph's Hawks Spread Result
Elo 42.1% 57.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.2% 62.8% - โœ“
Margin 63.0% 37.0% -2.9 โœ— (9.9 off)
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 46.4% 53.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 72.0% 28.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 72.7% 27.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 54.7% 45.3% - โœ—

Actual: Saint Joseph's Hawks +7 (83-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Eric Dixon * 38 8-22 4-10 4-4 9 1 0 0 1 24 11 -14.7
Wooga Poplar * 38 3-11 1-3 6-6 8 1 3 0 2 13 12 -9.3
Jordan Longino * 35 5-11 0-1 2-2 6 3 1 0 3 12 8 -6.9
Jhamir Brickus * 32 9-15 2-6 2-2 5 3 1 0 3 22 13 -9.8
Enoch Boakye * 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 0 3 -2.2
Kris Parker 17 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 2 -2.7
Tyler Perkins 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 +6.1
Josiah Moseley 11 1-2 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 1 2 3 -20.4
Nnanna Njoku 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 +9.3

Saint Joseph's Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Xzayvier Brown * 37 4-18 1-8 9-10 6 13 1 0 4 18 16 +13.3
Derek Simpson * 37 5-10 2-4 4-4 6 4 1 1 2 16 16 +12.8
Erik Reynolds II * 35 3-8 0-4 3-3 1 3 1 1 4 9 3 +17.2
Justice Ajogbor * 25 1-2 0-0 2-4 3 0 1 3 0 4 9 +4.4
Rasheer Fleming * 21 7-9 1-3 4-4 5 0 1 2 0 19 18 +20.3
Anthony Finkley 26 4-6 4-6 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 12 11 +18.0
Dasear Haskins 10 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 3 2 -16.3
Steven Solano 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -0.8
Shawn Simmons II 4 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -5.4

* = starter