Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | Saint Joseph's Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.0% | 37.0% | -2.9 | ✗ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Saint Joseph's Hawks +7 (83-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Dixon * | 38 | 8-22 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 11 | -14.7 |
| W. Poplar * | 38 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | -9.3 |
| J. Longino * | 35 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | -6.9 |
| J. Brickus * | 32 | 9-15 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 13 | -9.8 |
| E. Boakye * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2.2 |
| K. Parker | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2.7 |
| T. Perkins | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +6.1 |
| J. Moseley | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -20.4 |
| N. Njoku | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +9.3 |
Saint Joseph's Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| X. Brown * | 37 | 4-18 | 1-8 | 9-10 | 6 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 16 | +13.3 |
| D. Simpson * | 37 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 16 | +12.8 |
| E. Reynolds II * | 35 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 3 | +17.2 |
| J. Ajogbor * | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | +4.4 |
| R. Fleming * | 21 | 7-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 18 | +20.3 |
| A. Finkley | 26 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | +18.0 |
| D. Haskins | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -16.3 |
| S. Solano | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.8 |
| S. Simmons II | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -5.4 |
* = starter